Weekly model readout

What the model says about the 50 largest US stocks and the prior week's earnings: week of October 11, 2026

Data through the 2026-10-12 close, compared with the 2026-10-06 close (snapshot wk_20261004). The 50 stocks in the Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (XLG). Pairs with this week's Weekly AI Summary.

Important: research and education only, not personalized investment advice. Disclosure: The author, who built Ultra Stock Analysis Pro, holds positions in many of the stocks discussed below and may buy or sell them at any time without notice.

Full disclaimer

Ultra Stock Analysis Pro publishes impersonal research and analysis for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice and is not tailored to any individual's financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance. We do not know your circumstances and do not provide personalized recommendations. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Analysis is generated in part by automated and AI systems and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

Across the 50, weaker trend, more entry setups. BUY ratings for a new position went from 3 to 4, signals at 5/7 or higher from 7 to 8, and the timing count from 9 gold / 22 red to 3 gold / 26 red. The average stock moved -0.3% on the week. Below the Top 50: the 7 stocks that reported earnings the week of October 4, 2026.

What the model flagged for new positions
BUY rating: GE, JNJ, LLY, QCOM.
ACCUMULATE (entry preferred lower, in the model's accumulation zone), gold and green timing first, then by reward:risk: GEV, TXN, TSLA, AVGO, MU, GOOGL, COST, AMAT, CSCO, AMD, NVDA, AMZN, ORCL, GS, UNH, MS, CAT, JPM, SNDK, PEP, WMT, KLAC, LRCX, IBM, MRK.
Breakout levels the model is watching, strongest signal first: BAC $55.27, HD $295.74, NFLX $74.53, MCD $252.06, VZ $43.06, LIN $492.05.

What the model flagged for existing positions
TRIM (little reward left relative to risk): AAPL, META, PLTR, XOM.
EXIT WATCH (the model's trend reading has turned against the position; a prompt to review, not a sell signal): MRK.

Business and entry quality readings (business / entry, each 0–100)
Highest combined: AMAT (98 / 75), MU (99 / 71), NVDA (99 / 71).
Lowest combined: WMT (52 / 39), PG (58 / 37), UNH (48 / 50).
Business quality scores the company; entry quality scores today's price. The combination is a reading, not a ranking the model trades on.

Each ticker links to its full report: verdicts, entry math, stop levels, backtest and the reasoning behind every number.

All 50, week over week

Measure	Last week	This week
Business quality, average	76.5	76.4
Entry Quality, average	59.6	62.7
Signals at 5/7 or higher	7	8
Timing: gold / green / red	9 / 19 / 22	3 / 21 / 26
New-position ratings: BUY / ACCUMULATE / WAIT	3 / 18 / 29	4 / 25 / 21
Median reward:risk	3.12:1	3.27:1
Average upside to analyst target	+17.4%	+18.1%

New-position rating moved off BUY this week: MA (BUY → WAIT; for existing positions HOLD). This rating is for buying in now, not a signal to sell a position already held.

How to read the ratings

BUY, ACCUMULATE, quality, timing, signal, reward:risk

New-position rating: BUY: the model's entry criteria are met at today's price. ACCUMULATE: the model prefers a lower entry zone. WAIT: needs a breakout or better pricing.
Existing-position rating: HOLD, TRIM or EXIT WATCH, computed separately from the new-position rating. A stock can rate BUY for a new position and EXIT WATCH for an existing one.
Business quality (0–100): The company: profitability, growth, margins, analyst support and balance sheet. It moves slowly.
Entry quality (0–100): Today's price: how stretched it is against its range, trend and momentum. Higher means a better-priced entry. It can move a lot in a week.
Signal (of 7): Signal Strength from the report: how many confirming technical signals (breakout, trend, momentum, volume and similar) fired together in the last 30 days, out of 7. 5/7 or more triggers a model trade. Shown as last week → this week: 4/7 → 0/7 usually means last week's signal is now more than 30 days old, not that the stock turned bearish. "None in 30d" means no signal event in the window.
Timing: Gold: timing buy. Green: bullish trend. Red: the trend has turned against the trade.
Analyst upside (12-mo): Distance from today's price to the average analyst price target. Analysts set targets about 12 months out, so this is not the model's forecast or a near-term move.
Reward:risk: Distance to the average analyst target over distance to a 2× ATR stop.
EXIT WATCH: Not a sell signal. The model exits at its stop; EXIT WATCH means the trend reading, the stop or the fundamentals have turned against the position. A deep pullback (price more than 3 ATR below its peak) is not on its own an EXIT WATCH: measured over ~7 years of the Top 50, it was not followed by weaker returns.

Magnificent 7 (7)

stocks and changes

Weaker trend, more entry setups. Week +0.2% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 4 · timing gold/green/red 2/4/1 → 1/4/2 · median reward:risk 2.60 → 3.67

AAPL: signal 3/7 → 0/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
GOOGL: signal 4/7 → 0/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
NVDA: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; timing gold → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
AAPL	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7 → 0/7 none in 30d	82	56 → 38	—	-1.5%	+2.2%
MSFT	WAIT	—	GREEN	3/7	96	52 → 62	1.39:1	+5.9%	+2.2%
GOOGL	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	4/7 → 0/7 none in 30d	99	55 → 58	4.71:1	+21.9%	+1.4%
AMZN	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3/7	84	51 → 63	6.18:1	+27.6%	+1.3%
META	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7	92 → 91	56	0.83:1	+5.1%	+0.6%
NVDA	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD → RED	3/7	99	65 → 71	9.47:1	+46.8%	-5.4%
TSLA	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	4/7	58	70	2.62:1	+15.8%	-0.7%

Semiconductors (10)

stocks and changes

Weaker trend, more entry setups. Week -6.1% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 9 · timing gold/green/red 5/4/1 → 1/4/5 · median reward:risk 2.07 → 2.53

AMAT: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
AMD: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating TRIM → HOLD; timing gold → green. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
AVGO: timing gold → green. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
INTC: timing green → red. The reward on offer does not yet justify the risk.
KLAC: timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
LRCX: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; timing gold → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
NVDA: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; timing gold → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
QCOM: new-position rating WAIT → BUY; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD. The entry math supports opening a position here.
TXN: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
AMAT	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	4/7	98	69 → 75	4.07:1	+30.1%	-6.2%
AMD	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	TRIM → HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	3/7	79 → 83	57 → 75	1.67:1	+13.3%	-8.5%
AVGO	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	4/7	96	53 → 73	6.67:1	+41.2%	-5.6%
INTC	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN → RED	3/7	50 → 54	70 → 75	0.98:1	+11.1%	-9.9%
KLAC	ACCUMULATE	—	GREEN → RED	4/7	89	63 → 71	2.40:1	+19.6%	-3.7%
LRCX	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD → RED	0/7 none in 30d	93 → 95	62	2.18:1	+18.8%	-7.3%
MU	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	3/7	99	61 → 71	6.41:1	+60.0%	-5.4%
NVDA	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD → RED	3/7	99	65 → 71	9.47:1	+46.8%	-5.4%
QCOM	WAIT → BUY	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED	5/7	58 → 60	78 → 82	2.01:1	+16.3%	-3.6%
TXN	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	0/7 none in 30d	85 → 88	51 → 62	2.66:1	+15.2%	-5.2%

Banks, payments and financials (8)

stocks and changes

Stronger trend, fewer entry setups. Week +1.9% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 4 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 0/2/6 → 0/3/5 · median reward:risk 5.17 → 4.46

GS: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
MA: new-position rating BUY → WAIT; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
WFC: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
BAC	WAIT	—	RED	3/7 → 4/7	88 → 87	61 → 73	6.16:1	+24.0%	+0.9%
BRK-B	WAIT	—	RED	3/7	84	67 → 57	7.02:1	+14.9%	+2.4%
GS	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3/7	73	63 → 69	5.69:1	+27.5%	-0.4%
JPM	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3/7	85 → 84	63 → 69	3.76:1	+12.7%	+0.9%
MA	BUY → WAIT	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	6/7	80 → 79	71 → 61	3.65:1	+12.4%	+5.0%
MS	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	4/7	75	67 → 73	5.16:1	+23.7%	-0.5%
V	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	6/7	91 → 89	67 → 56	2.55:1	+8.6%	+5.0%
WFC	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	3/7	78 → 79	63 → 59	3.40:1	+15.5%	+2.2%

Technology (ex-semiconductors) (7)

stocks and changes

Weaker trend, more entry setups. Week -0.3% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 4 · timing gold/green/red 0/5/2 → 0/4/3 · median reward:risk 2.44 → 2.38

AAPL: signal 3/7 → 0/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
CSCO: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; signal 5/7 → 3/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
IBM: signal 0/7 → 4/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
ORCL: signal 4/7 → 0/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
SNDK: timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
AAPL	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7 → 0/7 none in 30d	82	56 → 38	—	-1.5%	+2.2%
CSCO	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	5/7 → 3/7	87 → 88	50 → 71	3.02:1	+15.2%	-2.2%
IBM	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	0/7 → 4/7	53 → 51	50 → 65	1.75:1	+9.4%	+2.6%
MSFT	WAIT	—	GREEN	3/7	96	52 → 62	1.39:1	+5.9%	+2.2%
ORCL	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	4/7 → 0/7 none in 30d	83	49 → 46	5.86:1	+55.0%	-5.1%
PLTR	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7	89	57 → 42	0.29:1	-3.6%	+8.8%
SNDK	ACCUMULATE	—	GREEN → RED	3/7	98	75 → 71	3.59:1	+46.7%	-10.4%

Consumer staples (6)

stocks and changes

Stronger trend, more entry setups. Week +3.7% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 1 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 1/1/4 → 0/3/3 · median reward:risk 3.90 → 2.63

COST: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; timing gold → green. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
KO: existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
PEP: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
PG: signal 0/7 → 3/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
PM: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
WMT: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating HOLD → none; timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
COST	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	5/7	64 → 62	48 → 42	4.09:1	+12.5%	+2.5%
KO	WAIT	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	3/7 → 4/7	74 → 73	67 → 48	2.41:1	+7.1%	+4.2%
PEP	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED	3/7	50 → 49	61 → 69	3.27:1	+12.8%	+0.8%
PG	WAIT	—	RED	0/7 → 3/7	59 → 58	40 → 37	0.17:1	+0.5%	+3.2%
PM	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	3/7 → 4/7	71 → 68	57 → 48	1.23:1	+5.3%	+6.1%
WMT	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	HOLD → —	GREEN → RED	4/7	54 → 52	49 → 39	2.85:1	+10.8%	+5.5%

Healthcare (5)

stocks and changes

Trend unchanged, more entry setups. Week +2.8% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 2 → 4 · timing gold/green/red 0/1/4 → 0/1/4 · median reward:risk 2.99 → 2.16

JNJ: existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD. The entry math supports opening a position here.
LLY: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → BUY; existing-position rating none → HOLD; signal 0/7 → 6/7. The entry math supports opening a position here.
MRK: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; signal 4/7 → 6/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
UNH: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
ABBV	WAIT	—	GREEN	3/7	66 → 64	65 → 47	1.34:1	+5.5%	+5.4%
JNJ	BUY	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED	5/7	80 → 78	78	2.16:1	+8.5%	+3.5%
LLY	ACCUMULATE → BUY	— → HOLD	RED	0/7 → 6/7	88 → 87	44 → 81	2.49:1	+13.9%	+2.2%
MRK	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH	RED	4/7 → 6/7	37 → 36	79 → 82	1.31:1	+6.2%	+2.5%
UNH	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	—	RED	0/7 none in 30d	48	50	5.66:1	+28.0%	+0.6%

Communications (4)

stocks and changes

Trend unchanged, fewer entry setups. Week -0.5% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 2 → 1 · timing gold/green/red 0/3/1 → 0/3/1 · median reward:risk 2.99 → 3.71

GOOGL: signal 4/7 → 0/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
NFLX: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
GOOGL	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	4/7 → 0/7 none in 30d	99	55 → 58	4.71:1	+21.9%	+1.4%
META	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7	92 → 91	56	0.83:1	+5.1%	+0.6%
NFLX	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	4/7	90	67 → 73	4.63:1	+23.7%	+2.8%
VZ	WAIT	—	RED	3/7	49 → 53	60 → 63	2.80:1	+14.8%	-7.0%

Consumer discretionary (4)

stocks and changes

Trend unchanged, fewer entry setups. Week +0.8% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 2 · timing gold/green/red 1/0/3 → 1/0/3 · median reward:risk 6.62 → 6.20

HD: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
AMZN	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3/7	84	51 → 63	6.18:1	+27.6%	+1.3%
HD	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED	4/7	48	67 → 73	6.21:1	+27.3%	+1.4%
MCD	WAIT	—	RED	3/7 → 4/7	61	61 → 73	6.71:1	+24.7%	+1.4%
TSLA	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	4/7	58	70	2.62:1	+15.8%	-0.7%

Industrials and materials (4)

stocks and changes

Weaker trend, entry setups unchanged. Week -2.8% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 2/1/1 → 1/1/2 · median reward:risk 3.56 → 4.32

CAT: timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
GE: existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD. The entry math supports opening a position here.
LIN: timing gold → green. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
CAT	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN → RED	4/7	72	39 → 59	3.90:1	+24.9%	-7.4%
GEV	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	3/7	82	35 → 71	3.48:1	+26.0%	-3.1%
GE	BUY	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED	5/7	80	76	6.73:1	+33.3%	-0.2%
LIN	WAIT	HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	3/7	82	43 → 49	4.74:1	+15.8%	-0.5%

Energy (2)

stocks and changes

About the same as last week. Week +4.1% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 0 → 0 · timing gold/green/red 0/2/0 → 0/2/0 · median reward:risk 0.51 → 0.30

No rating or timing changes in this group.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Week
CVX	WAIT	—	GREEN	3/7	80 → 79	68 → 56	0.32:1	+1.3%	+3.6%
XOM	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3/7	69	55 → 43	0.28:1	-5.3%	+4.7%

Prior week's earnings: week of October 4, 2026 (7)

The 7 stocks that reported the week of October 4, 2026, read from their post-earnings reports (data through the 2026-10-12 close). Each report is a one-time snapshot after the print, so there is no prior week to compare. All 7 reports · Post-Earnings Action Report (EPS results and gaps).

The results: 5 of 7 beat EPS (71%), and 4 gaps held the 3-day rule. 3 accelerating, 0 reversing, 4 in volatility crush.

What the model flagged for new positions
BUY rating: none.
ACCUMULATE (entry preferred lower, in the model's accumulation zone), gold and green timing first, then by reward:risk: DAL, PEP, STZ.
Breakout levels the model is watching, strongest signal first: APLD $24.94, LEVI $19.99, TLRY $3.61.

What the model flagged for existing positions
TRIM (little reward left relative to risk): PENG.
EXIT WATCH (the model's trend reading has turned against the position; a prompt to review, not a sell signal): none.

Business and entry quality readings (business / entry, each 0–100)
Highest combined: DAL (71 / 62), STZ (72 / 57), LEVI (58 / 69).
Lowest combined: APLD (48 / 69), TLRY (50 / 67), PEP (49 / 69).
Business quality scores the company; entry quality scores today's price. The combination is a reading, not a ranking the model trades on.

Measure	This week
Business quality, average	59.6
Entry Quality, average	64.3
Signals at 5/7 or higher	3
Timing: gold / green / red	2 / 1 / 4
New-position ratings: BUY / ACCUMULATE / WAIT	0 / 3 / 4
Existing-position ratings: TRIM / EXIT WATCH	1 / 0
Median reward:risk	4.48:1
Average upside to analyst target	+57.1%

Earnings stocks (7)

ratings, quality, timing and price for each

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal (of 7)	Business quality	Entry quality	Reward:risk	Analyst upside (12-mo)	Price
APLD	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	6/7	48	69	6.47:1	+88.2%	$23.25
DAL	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	5/7	71	62	4.48:1	+27.0%	$80.11
LEVI	WAIT	none held	RED	3/7	58	69	7.64:1	+48.1%	$19.24
PENG	WAIT	TRIM	GOLD	5/7	69	57	0.70:1	+8.4%	$79.15
PEP	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	RED	3/7	49	69	3.27:1	+12.8%	$126.68
STZ	ACCUMULATE	none held	RED	4/7	72	57	3.27:1	+17.3%	$126.40
TLRY	WAIT	none held	RED	3/7	50	67	17.79:1	+197.6%	$3.36

Every report is on the S&P 500 Top 50 index. Run the same analysis on any ticker at ultrastockanalysispro.com. Earlier readouts: Weekly Readout archive.

Research and analysis for informational and educational purposes. Not investment advice. Not personalized to your circumstances.