Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis Report

Q: Is Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) a buy, hold, or sell right now?

Ultra Stock Analysis Pro reads CSCO as WAIT for a new position and HOLD for an existing one as of October 2026, with a Signal Strength of 3/7 (last setup 2026-10-12, 4d ago). The model's timing state is RED · DEEP PULLBACK · ABOVE STOP — it has been long since 2026-09-22. Company Quality scores 88/100, revenue growth is +17.6% year over year, and RSI sits at 42 (neutral), so now is a reasonable entry point (Entry Quality 75/100). The backtested strategy has won 11 of 14 trades (78.6%).

Q: What is the stop-loss level for CSCO stock?

For the open position, the Conservative fixed 2.0x volatility ATR stop sits at $99.84, 7.0% below the current $107.39, fixed at the 2026-09-22 entry; the Adaptive stop sits at $99.84, 7.0% below the current $107.39, fixed at entry until $118.41, then trails. A new entry today would use $101.32 — 2x the 14-day ATR of $3.03 below today's price.

Q: What is the analyst price target for CSCO?

The average analyst price target for CSCO is $132.82, +23.7% from the current price of $107.39, based on 19 Buy, 10 Hold and 0 Sell ratings (29 analysts). The target range runs $110.00 to $150.00.

Q: What are the key support and resistance levels for CSCO?

CSCO has support at $106.34 (nearest -1.0%) and resistance at $109.89, $114.67, $118.53 (nearest +2.3%). Levels are volume-weighted swing clusters, pruned by ATR and labelled by which side of the current price they sit on.

Q: What is the biggest risk for CSCO right now?

CSCO reads Moderate Risk overall. No single risk axis reads high. Beta is 0.98, the 14-day ATR is 2.8% of price, forward P/E is 21.1x, and the next earnings date is Nov 12, 2026.

$107.39-$2.46 (-2.24%)as of 2026-10-16

Generated: October 17, 2026 at 03:02 PM ET
Strategy: Conservative Stop Loss (Fixed volatility ATR-based)
Latest Data: 2026-10-16

Position Status

+1.28% 🚀

The model triggered a long signal on 2026-09-22 at $106.03 — a position from that signal price currently shows +1.28%.

📋 Investment SnapshotIs CSCO a buy right now? The 10-second read

Company Quality

88/100

Model Timing

DEEP PULLBACK

Risk Level

Moderate

Expected Return

+23.7%

Rating

WAIT

Reason: Exceptional business · model timing: deep pullback · rating WAIT: needs a close above $109.89 on rising volume. Expected Return is the upside to the analyst price target; full rationale is detailed below.

For the latest stock analysis and interactive charts:
📊 Open CSCO Analysis ↗

Important: Ultra Stock Analysis Pro publishes impersonal research and analysis for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice and is not tailored to any individual's financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance. We do not know your circumstances and do not provide personalized recommendations. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Analysis is generated in part by automated and AI systems and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

🎯 THE TWO VERDICTSShould you buy, hold or wait on CSCO stock today?

Two questions, computed separately: the entry verdict never reads whether a position is open, and the position verdict never reads entry quality.

Model long since 2026-09-22 @ $106.03 · +1.3% · timing RED · DEEP PULLBACK · ABOVE STOP — state, not a recommendation

If you already own it

HOLD

The pullback alone does not end the case for holding.

Deep pullback, not an exit: price is 3.7 volatility ATR below its recent peak, so the model's timing reads RED, but its stop has not been hit and the fundamentals hold. Not a place to add until the trend recovers; the stop is the line.

If you don't own it yet

WAIT

The setup has not triggered yet.

Needs a break above $109.89 on rising volume.

Signal Strength: 3/7 (last setup 2026-10-12, 4d ago)

Why: CSCO carries a WAIT rating because valuation and fundamentals remain attractive (Investment Quality 88/100), but trend strength is still emerging (ADX 22), relative strength has lagged the S&P 500 over the past quarter and only a partial setup is building (Signal Strength 3/7). A breakout above $109.89 on improving volume would upgrade the signal toward BUY; a break below $106.34 would mark deeper weakness.

Reward:risk: 4.19:1 to the analyst target $132.82, against a stop at $101.32.
Model timing: RED · DEEP PULLBACK · ABOVE STOP.
Stop loss: the Conservative fixed 2.0x volatility ATR stop sits at $99.84, 7.0% below the current $107.39, fixed at the 2026-09-22 entry.
Growth vs. valuation: revenue +17.6% YoY with a 27.7% operating margin, at a forward P/E of 21.1x.
Wall Street: average target $132.82 (+23.7%) from 19 Buy, 10 Hold, 0 Sell ratings.
Key levels: nearest support $106.34 (-1.0%), nearest resistance $109.89 (+2.3%).

Price vs. its 50-day trend — BELOW TREND

Nothing fired. ○ context, does not decide the badge

○ From 52-week high-17.6% from the 52-week high — well off the high

○ Below the 50-day EMA1.3 volatility ATR below the 50-day EMA — no extension risk on this leg

○ 3-day move (context)-6.7% in 3 sessions

○ 5-day move (context)-9.3% in 5 sessions

🎯 CONSENSUS HUDWhat is the Wall Street analyst consensus on CSCO?

The call itself, and the readings behind it. Details read supportive / caution / headwind.

STREET BULLISH19 of 29 analysts rate it buy · mean target +23.7% above the current price

Signal Strength

3/7

setup 4d ago

Win Rate

78.6%

11 of 14 backtested trades won

Street

19/29

analysts rate buy

Upside

+23.7%

to analyst target

Model Timing

DEEP PULLBACK

long since 2026-09-22

Technical Confluence

3/7 bullish signals (last setup 2026-10-12, 4d ago)

Backtest Win Rate

78.6% (11 of 14 trades)

Analyst Consensus

19 buy / 10 hold / 0 sell

Upside Potential

+23.7% to $132.82

Market Volatility

Beta 0.98

Valuation

21.1x forward P/E

Position

Already open — +1.3%

News Sentiment

Slightly Bullish — 9 bullish / 3 bearish of 31

Action plan
If you own it: HOLD — Deep pullback, not an exit: price is 3.7 volatility ATR below its recent peak, so the model's timing reads RED, but its stop has not been hit and the fundamentals hold. Not a place to add until the trend recovers; the stop is the line.
If you don't: WAIT — Needs a break above $109.89 on rising volume.

🎯 Intelligent Stop Loss Strategy

Current Price

$107.39

Buy Stop Loss

$101.32

Distance: 6%

Conservative 2.0x · new entry

Adaptive Stop (position)

$99.84

Distance: 7%

fixed at entry until $118.41, then trails

ATR 14 Day

$3.03

Volatility

ADX Strength

22.3

Emerging trend

Adaptive position +1.3% - stop still fixed at entry; it starts trailing at $118.41.

ADX: 20-25 = Emerging trend | 25-50 = Strong trend | 50+ = Very strong

🧭 Investment Quality vs. Entry QualityHow does CSCO's investment quality compare to its entry quality?

Two independent reads: how good the business is (fundamentals) vs. how stretched the price is against its recent range. Entry Quality is a mean-reversion score — it marks a stock down for trading near the top of its range. It is not the model's timing call, which is RED · DEEP PULLBACK · ABOVE STOP and appears in the Consensus HUD above.

Investment Quality

88/100

Exceptional business

Profitability20/20

Margin 21%, ROE 27%

Revenue Growth20/20

+17.6% YoY

Margins18/20

Operating 28%

Analyst Support15/20

19B/10H/0S, +24% to target

Balance Sheet14/20

Debt/Equity 0.6

Entry Quality (price stretch)

75/100

Prime setup

Trend20/20

Bullish EMA stack, ADX 22

Momentum14/20

RSI 42, MACD momentum bearish

Pullback vs. Extension24/30

Mid-range

Fresh Signal & Room17/30

Confluence 3 pts, +24% to target

Exceptional business, prime setup. CSCO clears 58 on both the business and the entry price.

🧮 Factor AttributionWhat is actually driving CSCO's rating?

What is driving the view — every factor's signed contribution to one net score. Green adds to the bull case; red detracts.

Factor	Contribution	Pts
Earnings Growth +52.1% YoY		+18
Profitability Margin 21%, ROE 27%		+15
Revenue Growth +17.6% YoY		+10
Valuation Fwd P/E 21.1, PEG 2.4		+8
Trend EMA bullish, ADX 22		+8
Sentiment Slightly Bullish		+2
Volatility ATR 2.8% of price		-2
Momentum RSI 42, MACD momentum bearish		-5
Relative Strength -5.7% vs S&P 500 (3M)		-6

Net Factor Score: +48 — Strongly bullish factor profile. This weighs the broad bull/bear case; the entry signal (Signal Strength) governs timing — a strong factor score can still read WAIT until a setup triggers.

🔮 FUTURE PRICE SCENARIOSWhere could CSCO stock go over the next 30-60 days?

Three paths for CSCO over the next 30-60 days, built from its volatility and its support and resistance levels — levels to plan around, not a forecast.

The bull and bear prices are how far a typical 60-day move reaches: across the Top 50 since 2021, a rise of 6.5× ATR volatility and a fall of 4.5× each happened about 1 time in 4. They are not analyst targets; the 12-month analyst target is shown in the Investment Snapshot.

🟢 The Bull Case — $118.53 (+10.4%)

If CSCO reclaims the $109.89 resistance level, a typical strong 60-day move carries it to $118.53 — a resistance level. This move would likely be driven by continued sector rotation into Technology.

🔴 The Bear Case — $93.74 (-12.7%)

Failure to hold the $106.34 support level opens a slide toward $93.74 (-12.7% from current price). A new position would be stopped out at $101.32 on the way down.

🟡 The Base Case (Sideways)

Given the current ADX of 22 (weak trend - consolidation likely), the most likely immediate outcome is consolidation between $106.34 and $109.89 until a volume catalyst occurs.

⚠️ These scenarios are algorithm-generated projections based on technical analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

⚠️ RISK HUD — DEEP DIVEWhat are the biggest risks of buying CSCO now?

Five risk axes scored LOW / MODERATE / HIGH, then the mitigation that follows from them.

MODERATE RISKno single axis reads high

Market

LOW

beta 0.98

Volatility

MODERATE

ATR 2.8% of price

Valuation

MODERATE

fwd P/E 21.1x · PEG 2.41

Event

MODERATE

earnings in 27d

Technical

LOW

RSI 42

52-week range position — 62% of the way up the range

now $107.39

52w low $69.8552w high $130.37

Key Support

$106.34 nearest -1.0%

Key Resistance

$109.89 · $114.67 · $118.53 nearest +2.3%

Valuation

Modest earnings multiple (21.1x forward), but expensive on a growth-adjusted basis (PEG 2.41) and on book value (8.43x P/B)

Mitigation — Stop

2-3x ATR = $6.07 – $9.10 below entry (5.6% at 2x)

Mitigation — Sizing

standard position size is supportable

Next Earnings

Nov 12, 2026 (27d away)

Short Interest

1.3% of float — normal

Sector Exposure

Technology — cycle and regulatory risk specific to the group

Backtest Edge

78.6% win rate (11 of 14 trades), 2.98x profit factor

Company-specific risks

CompetitionMarket conditionsRegulatory changes

📏 ENTRY MATHWhat is the reward-to-risk on CSCO right now?

Reward is measured to the analyst target $132.82; risk to the 2x ATR entry stop at $101.32. Both legs are pre-trade, so the ratio means the same thing whether or not the model is holding.

The target is the average of analyst price targets published in the last quarter (widening to the last year only if the quarter has none) — the same figure our live scanner uses. Other services poll a different set of analysts, so a target quoted elsewhere can sit a few percent either side of this one, and the reward leg moves with it.

Entry at	Price	Risk	Reward	R:R
Model entry held since 2026-09-22 · +1.3% · against its own $99.84 stop, to TODAY's target — the model already holds a stronger cost basis than any new entry can get	$106.03	$6.19	$26.79	4.33:1
Today at $107.39	$107.39	$6.07	$25.43	4.19:1

Entry zones

Breakout above$109.89 on rising volume

Invalidation$101.32 entering today

Do not chaseabove $126.75

📈 SELL-SIDE HUDIs CSCO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Research read: Cisco Systems, Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment. What the business is worth and where the Street stands. Details below read supportive / caution / headwind; grey is context, not a verdict.

STRONG GROWTHpositive operating leverage — revenue and earnings both accelerating

Forward P/E (FY2027E)

21.1x

reasonable multiple

PEG Ratio (FY2027–FY2029E CAGR)

2.41

growth-adjusted P/E

Revenue Growth

+17.6%

latest quarter vs a year ago

EPS Growth

+53.2%

next fiscal year

Operating Margin

28%

profitability

Analyst ratings (29 covering)Strong Buy

■ 19 Buy■ 10 Hold■ 0 Sell

Analyst target range vs. current price

now $107.39

low $110.00avg $132.82high $150.00

Trailing P/E

32.2x

Price / Sales

6.69x — premium

Price / Book

8.43x

Enterprise Value

$438.7B

Revenue (TTM)

$63.3B

Free Cash Flow

$11.2B

Earnings Growth

+52.1%

Avg Target

$132.82 (+23.7%)

🏆 Relative StrengthIs CSCO outperforming the S&P 500 and its sector?

The stock's return minus each benchmark's return. Positive = outperforming = leadership; negative = lagging. Relative strength is one of the most durable signals in quantitative research.

Benchmark	1-Mo	3-Mo	6-Mo
S&P 500 (SPY)	-2.5%	-5.7%	+17.4%
Technology (XLK)	+0.1%	-7.2%	+6.3%

CSCO 3-month return: -2.6% · Leadership: LAGGARD — trailing the S&P 500 and its sector

🤖 ML ProbabilityWhat is the probability CSCO stock closes higher?

A random-forest classifier (scikit-learn RandomForestClassifier, 100 trees, depth 8) estimates the probability that price closes higher over each horizon — a directional estimate, not a guarantee.

61%

next day up

70%

5-day up

60%

20-day up

How often this has been right — share of past predictions that called direction correctly, against the share you would get by always guessing “up”:
1d 50% vs 53% · 5d 55% vs 57% · 20d 45% vs 60%
Walk-forward, out-of-sample, 1,533 predictions. This model has NOT beaten that baseline at any horizon here. Treat the probabilities above as weak evidence, not a forecast.

📊 Valuation & Fundamentals vs Communication Equipment (17 peers)Is CSCO cheap or expensive versus its sector peers?

● Top 25% in sector ● Middle 50% ● Bottom 25% — each value colored by its rank among 17 Communication Equipment peers; "med" is the peer median.

Valuation

P/E (TTM)32.2 (med 40.0)

Forward P/E (FY2027E)21.1 (med 21.1)

PEG Ratio (FY2027–FY2029E CAGR)2.41 (med 1.98)

Price/Book8.43 (med 5.35)

Growth

EPS Growth (Qtr YoY)+52.1% (med 13.7%)

EPS Growth (Next Yr)+53.2% (med 34.8%)

Revenue Growth+17.6% (med 15.6%)

Profitability

Profit Margin21.0% (med 8.5%)

Gross Margin64.5% (med 46.0%)

ROE27.3% (med 18.8%)

⚔️ CSCO vs. Its Closest PeersHow does CSCO compare to ANET and its other closest peers?

The closest business match first, then the nearest by market cap within Communication Equipment from the live sector screener. Industry classification alone is not enough — it files CSCO beside companies in a different line of business — so the direct competitor is seeded explicitly. Green marks the best reading in each row, red the worst.

Metric	CSCO (this report)	ANET	MSI	LITE
Market Cap	$423.4B	$223.2B	$76.6B	$74.7B
Revenue Growth (Qtr YoY)	+17.6%	+37.7%	+13.3%	+109.3%
Forward P/E (FY2027E)	21.1x	43.0x	26.2x	38.0x
PEG Ratio (FY2027–FY2029E CAGR)	2.41	1.69	3.15	0.63
Operating Margin	27.7%	45.4%	27.4%	28.0%
Trend Strength (ADX)	22.3	22.4	18.2	19.5

ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.), MSI (Motorola Solutions, Inc.), LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.). Peers marked “closest business match” come from the curated rival map; the rest are the nearest by market cap in the same industry, and no more than 20x larger or smaller. ADX is shown where recent price data is already on file for that peer.

🔔 ANALYST RATING CHANGESHave analysts upgraded or downgraded CSCO recently?

3 rating changes in 90 days (1 downgrade, 2 initiations); 8 ratings reaffirmed (not listed).

Firm	Action	From → To	Date
Bernstein	INITIATED	Market Perform	Sep 30, 2026
Deutsche Bank	INITIATED	Buy	Sep 01, 2026
HSBC	DOWNGRADE	Buy → Hold	Aug 14, 2026

News Sentiment (14-Day)What is the latest news sentiment on CSCO?

Overall: Slightly Bullish · 9 bullish · 3 bearish · 19 neutral of 31 headlines (net score +1.6 on a −10 to +10 scale)

Headlines scored by Claude (Sonnet 5) for their impact on this stock.

Bullish Articles (Top 5 of 9)

Cisco, Nvidia Tackle AI's Growing Data Center Bottleneck
Bloomberg Technology • Oct 12
Cisco is partnering with Nvidia on a new generation of optical networking technology designed to handle the exploding amount of data moving through AI...

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QntIyyS_51U...
Cisco Advances Scalability and Openness at OCP 2026
PRNewsWire • Oct 12
Delivers the resilient, open Ethernet foundations required to connect and scale massive, distributed AI factories News Summary Cisco and NVIDIA plan t...

Source: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cisco-advances-scal...
Cisco Advances Scalability and Openness at OCP 2026
PRNewsWire • Oct 12
Delivers the resilient, open Ethernet foundations required to connect and scale massive, distributed AI factories News Summary Cisco and NVIDIA plan t...

Source: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cisco-advances-scal...
NVIDIA and Cisco Introduce New Pluggable Optics Form Factor to Scale AI Factories
GlobeNewsWire • Oct 12
News Summary: Ultra-Dense Small Form Factor Pluggable (USFP) is designed to be the first module to support 400Gb/s-per-lane electrical signals, enabli...

Source: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/10/12/337903...
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) Shares Up 3% – What’s Next?
Defense World • Oct 11
Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO - Get Free Report) shares traded up 3% during mid-day trading on Friday. The stock traded as high as $118.65 and las...

Source: https://www.defenseworld.net/2026/10/11/cisco-systems-nasdaq...

Bearish Articles (Top 5 of 3)

Here's Why Cisco Systems (CSCO) Fell More Than Broader Market
Zacks Investment Research • Oct 14
Cisco Systems (CSCO) concluded the recent trading session at $113.64, signifying a -1.24% move from its prior day's close....

Source: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/3007528/here-s-why-cisco-sy...
Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Shares Fall 0.2% -- GF Value Says Still Overvalued
GuruFocus • Oct 13
On October 13, 2026, Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) shares fell 0.2% to a price of $115.07. This decline comes amidst a 52-week range of $66.81 to $130.37, ...

Source: https://www.gurufocus.com/news/9122108/cisco-systems-inc-csc...
Cisco Systems (CSCO) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
Zacks Investment Research • Oct 08
Cisco Systems (CSCO) closed the most recent trading day at $114.89, moving 2.13% from the previous trading session....

Source: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/3003221/cisco-systems-csco-...

📊 Sentiment Interpretation

The news sentiment is moderately bullish, showing generally positive coverage with some caution. Market perception appears favorable but not overwhelmingly positive. This neutral-to-positive sentiment suggests steady conditions without extreme optimism.

📊 Strategy Comparison: Conservative vs Adaptive

Both strategies analyzed independently. Both enter with a 2.0x ATR stop. Conservative keeps it fixed; Adaptive switches to a trailing chandelier once the trade is up +1R (choppy market) or +2R (trending).

Conservative Strategy

OPEN POSITION

Fixed 2.0x ATR Stop Loss

+1.3%

Entry: $106.03 on 2026-09-22

Confluence: 5/7 (on the entry bar)

Stop Loss: $99.84 (fixed at entry)

A new entry today would stop at $101.32

Backtest Results (Since 2018):

Past Win Rate

78.6%

Past Total Return

+89.6%

Max Drawdown

-11.3%

Avg Trade

+10.3%

Trades

Adaptive Strategy

OPEN POSITION

2.0x ATR at entry, then a trailing chandelier after +1R (choppy) / +2R (trending)

+1.3%

Entry: $106.03 on 2026-09-22

Confluence: 5/7 (on the entry bar)

Stop Loss: $99.84 (fixed at entry until $118.41, then trails)

A new entry today would stop at $101.32

Backtest Results (Since 2018):

Past Win Rate

75.0%

Past Total Return

+67.5%

Max Drawdown

-9.0%

Avg Trade

+6.0%

Trades

🤖 ALGORITHMIC CONVICTION & METHODOLOGYHow is the CSCO rating calculated?

Why this rating?

The Ultra Stock Analysis algorithm has assigned a WAIT entry rating to CSCO based on a confluence of 3 distinct factors:

Technical Momentum: The RSI (42) is currently in neutral range.
Trend Strength: ADX at 22 indicates an emerging trend (20-25). News sentiment is neutral (Slightly Bullish).
Volatility Profile: The ATR ($3.03) indicates moderate volatility (2.8% of price), suggesting potential moves of 5.6%+ on breakouts.

📊 Confidence Interval:

Based on 7+ years of historical data, signals with this specific technical fingerprint have resulted in a positive return in 11 of 14 historical trades (78.6%) over a medium-term (months) hold period, with an average return of +10.3% per trade.

Firing at the 2026-10-12 setup (4d ago) — EMA Trend Alignment (2) · Strong Trend (ADX > 25) (1).

Not firing at the 2026-10-12 setup (4d ago): Valid Breakout, RSI Bullish Divergence, MACD Bullish Divergence, High Volume (>1.5×), RSI Oversold, Below Lower Bollinger, Volume Accumulation.

📊 How the score works — the full checklist, what each signal means, and why 3/7 can read low in an uptrend

Signal Strength is a tactical entry-timing score, not a trend or fundamentals grade. It only adds points from setups that flag a fresh reason to enter — breakouts, momentum divergences, and oversold/volume/volatility extremes. Trend direction and fundamentals are scored in their own sections above. A setup must reach 3+ points to register as a signal and 5+ for a strong BUY. Individual boxes below can be checked — a stacked EMA trend alone is worth 2 points — without crossing the 3-point bar; when that happens the registered Signal Strength stays at 3/7, meaning no new entry trigger today — not a bearish call.

Signal	Pts	What it flags	Now
Valid Breakout	3	Close breaks above the 20-day high on >1.5× volume	✗
EMA Trend Alignment	2	EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 (stacked uptrend)	✓
RSI Bullish Divergence	2	Price firms while RSI was falling — a reversal setup	✗
MACD Bullish Divergence	2	Price firms while MACD was falling — a reversal setup	✗
Strong Trend (ADX > 25)	1	ADX > 25 confirming the stacked EMAs	✓
High Volume (>1.5×)	1	Volume surge confirming the move	✗
RSI Oversold	1	RSI < 30 — stretched to the downside (bounce setup)	✗
Below Lower Bollinger	1	Close below the lower band (mean-reversion setup)	✗
Volume Accumulation	1	Up-volume divergence — quiet accumulation	✗

This is why CSCO can show a bullish EMA trend and solid fundamentals while Signal Strength reads 3/7: those are already-in-trend and value measures, whereas this score fires only on a new tactical setup (an oversold bounce, a divergence, or a high-volume breakout) — none of which is present on the latest bar.

❓ CSCO — Common Questions

— 5 answers, each drawn from the figures above

Every answer below is generated from the same figures as the report above, as of the data date on the cover.

Is Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) a buy, hold, or sell right now?

Ultra Stock Analysis Pro reads CSCO as WAIT for a new position and HOLD for an existing one as of October 2026, with a Signal Strength of 3/7 (last setup 2026-10-12, 4d ago). The model's timing state is RED · DEEP PULLBACK · ABOVE STOP — it has been long since 2026-09-22. Company Quality scores 88/100, revenue growth is +17.6% year over year, and RSI sits at 42 (neutral), so now is a reasonable entry point (Entry Quality 75/100). The backtested strategy has won 11 of 14 trades (78.6%).

What is the stop-loss level for CSCO stock?

For the open position, the Conservative fixed 2.0x volatility ATR stop sits at $99.84, 7.0% below the current $107.39, fixed at the 2026-09-22 entry; the Adaptive stop sits at $99.84, 7.0% below the current $107.39, fixed at entry until $118.41, then trails. A new entry today would use $101.32 — 2x the 14-day ATR of $3.03 below today's price.

What is the analyst price target for CSCO?

The average analyst price target for CSCO is $132.82, +23.7% from the current price of $107.39, based on 19 Buy, 10 Hold and 0 Sell ratings (29 analysts). The target range runs $110.00 to $150.00.

What are the key support and resistance levels for CSCO?

CSCO has support at $106.34 (nearest -1.0%) and resistance at $109.89, $114.67, $118.53 (nearest +2.3%). Levels are volume-weighted swing clusters, pruned by ATR and labelled by which side of the current price they sit on.

What is the biggest risk for CSCO right now?

CSCO reads Moderate Risk overall. No single risk axis reads high. Beta is 0.98, the 14-day ATR is 2.8% of price, forward P/E is 21.1x, and the next earnings date is Nov 12, 2026.

📊 APPENDIX A - Complete Technical Indicators

Comprehensive technical data for quantitative analysis, grouped by what each indicator measures. Price leads; the three Bollinger bands sit together with the band position that reads them.

Indicator	Value	Indicator	Value
Price & Volume
Current Price	$107.39	Volume	15.9M
Avg Volume	18.6M (~$2.0B/day · Highly liquid)	Beta	0.98
Trend
EMA 20	$111.77	EMA 50	$111.43
EMA 200	$100.75	VWAP	$108.18
Trend Strength (ADX)	22.35	Distance from EMA 20	-3.9%
Momentum
RSI (14)	41.61	MACD	0.58
MACD Signal	0.87	MACD Histogram	-0.28
Stochastic %K	35.93	Stochastic %D	54.34
Bollinger Bands (20, 2σ)
Bollinger Upper	$119.85	Bollinger Middle	$110.96
Bollinger Lower	$102.08	Band Position	29.9% (0% = lower band, 100% = upper)
Volatility
ATR (14)	$3.03	ATR as % of price	2.8%
Signal
Last confluence setup	3/7 (last setup 2026-10-12, 4d ago)	Trade trigger (buy/sell)	BUY — fired 2026-10-08 (8d ago)

💼 APPENDIX B - Complete Fundamental Metrics

Comprehensive Fundamental Data for Financial Analysis

Valuation Metrics		Performance
Market Cap	$423.4B	Revenue	$63.3B
Forward P/E (FY2027E)	21.1	Revenue Growth	+17.6%
Trailing P/E	32.2	Gross Margin	64.5%
Price/Sales	6.69	Operating Margin	27.7%
Price/Book	8.43	Profit Margin	21.0%
PEG Ratio (FY2027–FY2029E CAGR)	2.41	ROE	27.3%
Enterprise Value	$438.7B	Free Cash Flow	$11.2B
EPS (Forward)	$5.10	Dividend Yield	1.56%
52-Week Range	$69.85 - $130.37	Institutional Ownership	83.4% (largest: Blackrock Inc.)

📈 APPENDIX C - Complete Trade History & Backtest Results

Comprehensive Trading Performance and Position Details

Backtest Performance Metrics

Past Win Rate (11 of 14 trades)

78.6%

Avg Return

+10.28%

Past Total Return

+89.6%

Profit Factor

2.98

Current Open Position

Entry Date	Entry Price	Past P&L	Entry Stop Loss
2026-09-22	$106.03	+1.28%	$99.84

Recent Trade History (Last 10 Trades)

Entry Date	Exit Date	Entry Price	Exit Price	Return %	Result
2021-10-06	2022-01-28	$47.04	$48.78	+3.70%	Win
2022-07-05	2022-10-28	$37.39	$41.05	+9.78%	Win
2022-11-01	2023-04-26	$40.89	$42.51	+3.97%	Win
2023-05-18	2023-10-23	$44.03	$48.39	+9.91%	Win
2023-11-16	2024-02-13	$44.53	$46.37	+4.13%	Win
2024-07-17	2024-08-06	$46.09	$42.90	-6.92%	Loss
2024-08-19	2024-11-11	$47.48	$56.12	+18.20%	Win
2025-02-13	2025-03-14	$61.52	$58.30	-5.23%	Loss
2025-05-14	2025-06-09	$59.46	$63.93	+7.52%	Win
2025-06-23	2026-08-28	$65.37	$109.51	+67.53%	Win

Summary: 14 total trades | Strategy: Conservative Stop Loss (Fixed volatility ATR-based)

Prices moved since this report was generated

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