Weekly model readout

What the model says about the 50 largest US stocks: week of October 4, 2026

Data through the 2026-10-02 close, compared with the 2026-09-25 close (snapshot wk_20260927). In last week's snapshot, AVGO, CSCO, META, NVDA, QCOM were regenerated after 2026-09-25 (data through 2026-10-01), so their week-over-week change covers a shorter span. The 50 stocks in the Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (XLG). Pairs with this week's Weekly AI Summary.

Important: Ultra Stock Analysis Pro publishes impersonal research and analysis for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice and is not tailored to any individual's financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance. We do not know your circumstances and do not provide personalized recommendations. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Analysis is generated in part by automated and AI systems and may contain errors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.

Disclosure: The author, who built Ultra Stock Analysis Pro, holds positions in many of the stocks discussed below and may buy or sell them at any time without notice.

Across the 50, mixed trend, fewer entry setups. BUY ratings for a new position went from 6 to 1, signals at 5/7 or higher from 8 to 5, and the timing count from 5 gold / 24 red to 8 gold / 24 red. The average stock moved -0.3% on the week.

What the model flagged for new positions
BUY rating: GE.
ACCUMULATE (entry preferred lower, in the model's accumulation zone), gold and green timing first, then by reward:risk: AVGO, TSLA, GEV, NFLX, GOOGL, LIN, SNDK, AMZN, HD, V, ORCL, MS, LLY, CAT, PM, IBM.
Breakout levels the model is watching, strongest signal first: COST $929.51, CSCO $114.67, QCOM $205.85, WMT $105.92, JNJ $260.42, BRK-B $502.99.

What the model flagged for existing positions
TRIM (little reward left relative to risk): AAPL, AMD, META, PLTR, XOM.
EXIT WATCH (the model's trend reading has turned against the position; a prompt to review, not a sell signal): CAT, GE, HD, JNJ, KO, MA, MRK, PEP, PM, V, WMT.

Each ticker links to its full report: verdicts, entry math, stop levels, backtest and the reasoning behind every number.

All 50, week over week

Measure	Last week	This week
Business quality, average	76.4	76.5
Entry Quality, average *	64.8	60.5
Signals at 5/7 or higher	8	5
Timing: gold / green / red	5 / 21 / 24	8 / 18 / 24
New-position ratings: BUY / ACCUMULATE / WAIT	6 / 20 / 24	1 / 16 / 33
Median reward:risk	3.75:1	3.62:1
Average upside to analyst target	+18.4%	+18.1%

* Entry Quality changed method this week: it now scores today's price instead of the bar where the last signal fired. Last week's Entry Quality figures used the earlier method, so part of this week's Entry Quality change is the correction, not the market. CSCO and LIN lost their BUY ratings to it.

Lost a BUY rating this week: CSCO, GEV, GS, LIN, UNH.

How to read the ratings

New-position rating: BUY: the model's entry criteria are met at today's price. ACCUMULATE: the model prefers a lower entry zone. WAIT: needs a breakout or better pricing.
Existing-position rating: HOLD, TRIM or EXIT WATCH, computed separately from the new-position rating. A stock can rate BUY for a new position and EXIT WATCH for an existing one.
Signal (0–7): Confirming technical signals. 5/7 or more triggers a model trade.
Timing: Gold: timing buy. Green: bullish trend. Red: the trend has turned against the trade.
Reward:risk: Distance to the average analyst target over distance to a 2× ATR stop.
EXIT WATCH: Not a sell signal. The model exits at its stop; EXIT WATCH means the trend reading, the stop or the fundamentals have turned against the position.

Magnificent 7 (7)

Mixed trend, entry setups unchanged. Week +0.1% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 1/5/1 → 2/4/1 · median reward:risk 3.42 → 3.63

NVDA: timing green → gold. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
AAPL	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.15:1	+0.6%	-2.2%
MSFT	WAIT	—	GREEN	4 → 3	1.85:1	+8.3%	+0.3%
GOOGL	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	4	4.86:1	+25.5%	-0.1%
AMZN	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3	6.93:1	+31.1%	+0.7%
META	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.82:1	+5.7%	+0.1%
NVDA	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN → GOLD	3	8.28:1	+41.8%	+1.9%
TSLA	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	4	3.63:1	+24.4%	-0.4%

Semiconductors (10)

Stronger trend, fewer entry setups. Week +3.9% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 4 → 1 · timing gold/green/red 3/5/2 → 5/5/0 · median reward:risk 3.13 → 1.80

INTC: existing-position rating TRIM → HOLD; timing gold → green; signal 6/7 → 3/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
KLAC: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; timing red → green. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
LRCX: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating none → HOLD; timing red → gold. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
MU: signal 0/7 → 3/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
NVDA: timing green → gold. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
TXN: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating none → HOLD; timing green → gold. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
AMAT	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	4	2.76:1	+20.0%	+11.3%
AMD	WAIT	TRIM	GOLD	3	0.70:1	+5.4%	+0.5%
AVGO	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	3	6.70:1	+41.0%	+2.2%
INTC	WAIT	TRIM → HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	6 → 3	0.55:1	-5.4%	-3.0%
KLAC	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	—	RED → GREEN	4	1.71:1	+12.6%	+10.1%
LRCX	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	— → HOLD	RED → GOLD	0	0.99:1	+7.8%	+10.2%
MU	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	0 → 3	4.19:1	+36.2%	-0.7%
NVDA	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN → GOLD	3	8.28:1	+41.8%	+1.9%
QCOM	WAIT	HOLD	GREEN	5	1.07:1	+9.7%	+0.6%
TXN	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	— → HOLD	GREEN → GOLD	4	1.89:1	+10.5%	+5.7%

Banks, payments and financials (8)

Weaker trend, fewer entry setups. Week -2.9% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 4 → 2 · timing gold/green/red 0/2/6 → 0/1/7 · median reward:risk 4.33 → 5.28

GS: new-position rating BUY → WAIT; existing-position rating ADD → none; timing green → red; signal 5/7 → 0/7. The setup has not triggered yet.
MA: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT. The setup has not triggered yet.
MS: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
V: existing-position rating HOLD → EXIT WATCH; timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
WFC: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
BAC	WAIT	—	RED	3	5.74:1	+24.5%	-5.2%
BRK-B	WAIT	—	RED	3	7.98:1	+18.3%	-0.6%
GS	BUY → WAIT	ADD → —	GREEN → RED	5 → 0	5.22:1	+27.6%	-3.5%
JPM	WAIT	—	RED	3	3.18:1	+12.4%	-3.1%
MA	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH	RED	4 → 3	6.05:1	+20.3%	-2.7%
MS	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	—	RED	4	4.99:1	+24.9%	-3.1%
V	ACCUMULATE	HOLD → EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	4	5.33:1	+16.9%	-1.8%
WFC	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	3	4.45:1	+20.6%	-3.0%

Technology (ex-semiconductors) (7)

Mixed trend, entry setups unchanged. Week +0.1% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 1/4/2 → 0/5/2 · median reward:risk 1.90 → 2.16

CSCO: new-position rating BUY → WAIT; existing-position rating ADD → HOLD; timing gold → green. The setup has not triggered yet.
IBM: signal 4/7 → 0/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
ORCL: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
AAPL	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.15:1	+0.6%	-2.2%
CSCO	BUY → WAIT	ADD → HOLD	GOLD → GREEN	5	3.90:1	+18.4%	+3.6%
IBM	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	4 → 0	2.16:1	+13.3%	-1.3%
MSFT	WAIT	—	GREEN	4 → 3	1.85:1	+8.3%	+0.3%
ORCL	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	—	RED	4	5.15:1	+49.7%	+3.8%
PLTR	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.47:1	-0.1%	-0.5%
SNDK	ACCUMULATE	—	GREEN	3	2.34:1	+27.3%	-3.3%

Consumer staples (6)

Mixed trend, fewer entry setups. Week -1.8% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 4 → 1 · timing gold/green/red 0/1/5 → 1/0/5 · median reward:risk 3.47 → 4.39

COST: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating none → HOLD; timing red → gold; signal 0/7 → 5/7. The setup has not triggered yet.
KO: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT. The setup has not triggered yet.
PEP: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT. The setup has not triggered yet.
WMT: existing-position rating HOLD → EXIT WATCH; timing green → red. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
COST	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	— → HOLD	RED → GOLD	0 → 5	5.08:1	+17.3%	-0.2%
KO	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH	RED	3	3.93:1	+11.2%	-2.5%
PEP	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	EXIT WATCH	RED	3	5.24:1	+18.4%	-2.1%
PG	WAIT	—	RED	0	0.65:1	+2.1%	-0.9%
PM	ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH	RED	3	2.90:1	+13.5%	-1.6%
WMT	WAIT	HOLD → EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	4	4.85:1	+20.2%	-3.4%

Healthcare (5)

Weaker trend, fewer entry setups. Week -2.8% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 1 · timing gold/green/red 0/3/2 → 0/1/4 · median reward:risk 2.43 → 2.91

ABBV: signal 3/7 → 0/7. Better entries are likely lower — price is extended here.
JNJ: new-position rating ACCUMULATE → WAIT; existing-position rating HOLD → EXIT WATCH; timing green → red. The setup has not triggered yet.
MRK: timing green → red. The setup has not triggered yet.
UNH: new-position rating BUY → WAIT; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → none; signal 5/7 → 0/7. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
ABBV	WAIT	—	GREEN	3 → 0	2.61:1	+10.2%	-0.6%
JNJ	ACCUMULATE → WAIT	HOLD → EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	3 → 4	2.91:1	+11.7%	-5.6%
LLY	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	0	3.23:1	+18.0%	-3.4%
MRK	WAIT	EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	3	1.60:1	+7.4%	-3.0%
UNH	BUY → WAIT	EXIT WATCH → —	RED	5 → 0	6.36:1	+29.6%	-1.2%

Communications (4)

Stronger trend, more entry setups. Week -2.0% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 1 → 2 · timing gold/green/red 0/2/2 → 0/3/1 · median reward:risk 2.53 → 2.97

NFLX: new-position rating WAIT → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
VZ: existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → none. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
GOOGL	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GREEN	4	4.86:1	+25.5%	-0.1%
META	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.82:1	+5.7%	+0.1%
NFLX	WAIT → ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	4	5.52:1	+32.6%	-5.7%
VZ	WAIT	EXIT WATCH → —	RED	3	1.08:1	+4.3%	-2.5%

Consumer discretionary (4)

Weaker trend, entry setups unchanged. Week -1.3% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 3 → 3 · timing gold/green/red 1/1/2 → 1/0/3 · median reward:risk 5.99 → 6.62

HD: existing-position rating HOLD → EXIT WATCH; timing green → red. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
AMZN	ACCUMULATE	—	RED	3	6.93:1	+31.1%	+0.7%
HD	ACCUMULATE	HOLD → EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	0	6.30:1	+29.8%	-3.5%
MCD	WAIT	—	RED	3	7.52:1	+29.1%	-1.9%
TSLA	ACCUMULATE	HOLD	GOLD	4	3.63:1	+24.4%	-0.4%

Industrials and materials (4)

Mixed trend, entry setups unchanged. Week +0.7% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 4 → 4 · timing gold/green/red 0/2/2 → 1/1/2 · median reward:risk 4.66 → 4.19

GEV: new-position rating BUY → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating ADD → HOLD; timing green → gold; signal 5/7 → 3/7. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.
GE: existing-position rating ADD → EXIT WATCH; timing green → red. The entry math supports opening a position here.
LIN: new-position rating BUY → ACCUMULATE; existing-position rating EXIT WATCH → HOLD; timing red → green. Better entered at the accumulation zone than at this price.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
CAT	ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH	RED	4	3.11:1	+17.1%	+2.9%
GEV	BUY → ACCUMULATE	ADD → HOLD	GREEN → GOLD	5 → 3	3.62:1	+27.1%	+3.2%
GE	BUY	ADD → EXIT WATCH	GREEN → RED	5	6.11:1	+33.6%	-5.4%
LIN	BUY → ACCUMULATE	EXIT WATCH → HOLD	RED → GREEN	5	4.76:1	+16.4%	+2.0%

Energy (2)

Stronger trend, entry setups unchanged. Week +1.6% · new-position BUY/ACCUMULATE 0 → 0 · timing gold/green/red 0/1/1 → 0/2/0 · median reward:risk 0.80 → 0.60

CVX: timing red → green. The setup has not triggered yet.

Stock	New position	Existing	Timing	Signal	Reward:risk	Upside	Week
CVX	WAIT	—	RED → GREEN	3	1.03:1	+4.1%	+1.1%
XOM	WAIT	TRIM	GREEN	3	0.18:1	-0.2%	+2.1%

Every report is on the S&P 500 Top 50 index. Run the same analysis on any ticker at ultrastockanalysispro.com. Earlier readouts: Weekly Readout archive.

Research and analysis for informational and educational purposes. Not investment advice. Not personalized to your circumstances.